Netherlands Bangladesh qualification scenario

At the 2024 T20 World Cup, Bangladesh and the Netherlands are in the hunt for the second Super Eights spot from Group D.

From Group D, South Africa have already qualified for the Super Eights, while Nepal and Sri Lanka have been eliminated. However, Bangladesh and the Netherlands are still in the hunt for the other Super Eights spot.

The qualifying team will be pooled alongside India, Australia, and Afghanistan in Group 1. Group 2 will consist of South Africa, both hosts – the West Indies and the USA – and one of England and Scotland.

Group D, T20 World Cup 2024 standings after eight games
Team Matches Won Lost No result Points W
South Africa 4 4 0 0 8 +0.470
Bangladesh 3 2 1 0 4 +0.478
Netherlands 3 1 2 0 2 -0.408
Nepal 3 0 2 1 1 -0.293
Sri Lanka 3 0 2 1 1 -0.777

Matches left in Group D:

Bangladesh v Nepal, Kingstown, June 16
Netherlands v Sri Lanka, Gros Islet, June 17

Read: Why the seedings of the Super Eights are already decided

Qualification scenario – Bangladesh

A win, or even a washout, against Nepal will see Bangladesh through. Even if Nepal win by a narrow margin, Bangladesh should be fine unless the Netherlands absolutely thrash Sri Lanka.

Qualification scenario – Netherlands

Assuming Bangladesh lose – and lose massively, the Netherlands have to beat Sri Lanka by a truly colossal margin to qualify. Of course, the Dutch play after Bangladesh, which will give them an advantage, but their qualification seems, at best, only mathematically possible.

Scenario – Nepal and Sri Lanka

Nepal put up a stellar show in their heartbreaking defeat against South Africa. If they do better than Sri Lanka in their respective last games, they will avoid a last-place finish. Sri Lanka’s task is slightly more difficult: they will either have to get more points than Nepal or, failing that, pip Nepal on net run rate.

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